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Challenge Cup - Trends

 

Age

  • Seven and eight year olds hold a significant advantage statistically so rule out all others.

Recent Form and Experience

  • Rule out any runner not placed in it's last outing especially fallers as this amateur riders event over 4 miles needs a horse who needs little encouragement to clear the obstacles, your selection should have a 1 in the form on one or two of its last runs. You should avoid horses that come into the race with a 45 day+ absence from a race track, and the obvious stat is that previous Cheltenham form is a big advantage.

Market Position

  • The top four in the betting usually perform well, but the trends are moving to longer priced horses in recent years so if a horse fits the bill at big odds don't be put off!

Trainers

  • Jonjo O'Neill has an outstanding record in this race and his runners are worthy of support if meeting most of the trends criteria.

Other Positives

  • Hold up horses have a great record so avoid front runners as the early pace in the race normally takes its toll in the final mile.

PERFECTION: A seven or eight year old, trained by Jonjo who has decent recent form and likes to finish late, owned by J P McManus.

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