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Queen Mother Chase - Trends

 

Age

  • Forget the youngsters! there has only ever been one six year old winner, and 11 year olds and over are almost as rare, so narrow the field down to 7-10 year olds.

Recent Form and Experience

  • You need a horse that is in form, so rule out any horse who didn't finish in the first three last time out, and the stats point that you need to be on a horse that has festival winning form, and with jumping the name of the game in this race there is no room for error so rule out any horse that run/fall ratio is greater than 10%.

Market Position

  • One of the strongest trends is the fact that this race is won over 85% of the time by a horse in the 1st three in the betting, so no matter how tempting the longer priced horses seem stick to the fancied horse in the betting ring.

Trainers

  • Paul Nicholls has an outstanding record in this race and the English have a clear superiority over the Irish trainers in this one.

Other Positives

  • Horses that have run in The Tingle Creek tend to perform better than they are entitled too.

PERFECTION: Go for an English trained horse aged between seven and ten, that ran in The Tingle Creek and has decent form in the book, a Festival winner in the past and in the top 3 of the betting.

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